Aston Villa’s season is ending much brighter than last season when they secured their survival on the final day of the season. They may have missed out on a top half finish this time around, but Sunday is a chance to back Dean Smith’s side to end the campaign with a win in this Premier League tips betting.
Chelsea’s 2-1 win over Leicester on Tuesday night boosted their hopes of a top-four finish but Liverpool’s win 24 hours later means their trip to Villa Park has a lot still riding on it. Thomas Tuchel cannot afford to make too many changes to his team and risk slipping out of the top four.
The timing of this season finale works out well for Aston Villa. They end their campaign with a home game against a side who has one eye on next Saturday’s Champions League final. Villa will want to start this game fast and frustrate their visitors and hope to reward their home fans in attendance with a win. This is also the last league game for Villa captain Jack Grealish to impress Gareth Southgate ahead of this summer’s European Championships. Grealish has been linked with a move away from Villa Park, so this could be his Villa swansong.
A weight was almost lifted from Chelsea’s shoulders after they beat Leicester 2-1 on Tuesday night, but their place in next season’s Champions League is still uncertain. If Leicester lose at home to Tottenham, then it doesn’t matter what Chelsea do at Villa Park, Thomas Tuchel’s side will qualify. The Blues boss will have his Champions League Final starting line-up settled in his mind, but he won’t want his star players picking up injuries. Beating Villa will secure Champions League football next season while missing out on the top four will increase the pressure when they face Manchester City next weekend.
Chelsea have dominated meetings with Aston Villa winning 10 of the last 12 clashes. That includes the Blues’ 8-0 win at Stamford Bridge on December 23, 2012 when seven different players scored. Villa have lost the last three home meetings, and with home fans attending, Villa will hope to make that count. Olivier Giroud has scored in his last two games against Villa and with key players possibly rested, Giroud might get a chance to add to his goals against the Villans. Both teams have scored in the last three meetings and eight of Villa’s last nine outings have seen goals for them and their opponents.
Chelsea have trailed at half-time in their two league games. Villa have not trailed at half-time in any of their last six league games.
Aston Villa have not conceded the first goal in seven of their last eight league contests while Chelsea have given up the opening goal in two of their last three.
Chelsea have conceded one second half goal in their last six league games while Villa have conceded six goals after half-time in their last six matches.
Chelsea may have one eye on their upcoming Champions League final so Villa will fancy their chances of ending their season with a win in this Premier League Tips prediction.
When players have a massive game like the Champions League final coming up, they approach games differently. They don’t go into tackles full blooded for fear of getting injured. Villa are a very generous 5/1 with Betfair to win which is a great price.
Dean Smith’s side have been involved in some entertaining games lately with ‘both teams to score’ and over 2.5 total goals paying out in eight of their last nine games. Two of Chelsea’s last three games have also seen goals for them and the teams they have been playing so that is another bet worth considering.
Villa have not conceded the first goal in seven of their last eight games and with Chelsea preoccupied by the Champions League final, in this Premier League prediction, they could extend that sequence in this Premier League prediction weekend. Even when Villa did concede the opening goal at Tottenham on Wednesday, they rallied to win 2-1.