This Saturday brings us the final matchday of the Bundesliga. With The Meisterschale already back home in Munich for the 8th time on the trott, 2nd place Borussia Dortmund are out to finish the season on a high, while Hoffenheim look to secure direct entry to the Europa League.
We’ve analysed the stats, past meetings and both teams’ form this season either side of the enforced break to come up with our best betting tip for this match. Dortmund will be looking to lay down a marker and show that they’re ready to challenge Bayern for the title next season.
Borussia Dortmund came into the restart as genuine title contenders, but a 1-0 defeat against Bayern saw their title hopes all but evaporate, along with Bayern’s blistering form and refusal to drop any points. Aside from their narrow loss to Bayern and a shock 2-0 home defeat against Mainz Lucien Favre’s side have looked impressive this season both pre and post pandemic lockdown, and are still the league’s 2nd highest scorers with 84 goals this campaign. Despite having nothing to play for, Dortmund will be looking to end this unusual season on a high and lay down a marker for the next campaign.
Hoffenheim currently sit in 7th place, 4 points clear of 8th place Freiburg and behind 6th place Wolfsburg only on goal difference. As the DFB pokal is being contested by Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich, who are both guaranteed European football next season, Hoffenhiem’s place in the Europa League 2nd round qualification is already secure. A win against Dortmund on Saturday could potentially see Alfred Schreuder’s men gain direct qualification to the Europa League, depending on Wolfsburg’s result against Bayern Munich. Hoffenheim’s defense is problematic though, as they’ve conceded the most goals of all sides in the top 8.
It may come as a surprise to some, but Dortmund haven’t won this fixture since December 2017, with 2 of their last 4 meetings ending in draws and the other 2 in Hoffenheim victories. Hoffenheim came from behind late on to beat Dortmund 2-1 in the reverse fixture last December. Both teams have scored in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. As both sides have displayed attacking prowess and defensive frailties this season, that’s a trend that looks likely to continue. There have been a whopping 18 goals scored in the last 5 meetings between these teams.
We’ve taken a look at the past meetings and compiled a few statistical highlights to help us come up with our betting tip for this Saturday’s fixture. Is avoiding the Europa League qualifying round going to prove to be enough of a motivating factor spur Hoffenheim onto victory against Dortmund?
Based on everything mentioned above, we’re going for a home win this Saturday, however we do expect both teams to get on the score sheet.
Calling Hoffenheim a bogey team of Dortmund’s would somewhat undermine them, as they are an established quality side and their recent showings against Dortmund have been no fluke. Despite their recent quality results against Dortmund, Hoffenheim haven’t beaten the Black and Yellows at Signal Iduna Park since 2013 – and the chances of them rectifying this statistic this Saturday look slim.
With Erling Haaland always keen for a goal, in addition to all of their other attacking options, we feel that Dortmund’s fire power will prove to be too much for Hoffenheim’s sometimes shaky defence. Hoffenheim aren’t shy in front of goal either though, so we do expect them to get on the scoresheet.
Our betting tip for this one is a Dortmund win and both teams to score which can be placed on odds of 2.7 with Betway. Don’t miss out on the final round of Bundesliga action.